Likelihood of 6.7 Earthquake or Larger Striking Bay Area Jumps to 72 Percent - NBC Bay Area

Likelihood of 6.7 Earthquake or Larger Striking Bay Area Jumps to 72 Percent

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    The big one may be just around the corner.

    There is now a 72 percent chance that a 6.7 magnitude earthquake or greater will strike along one of the Bay Area's fault lines within the next 30 years, representing a nine percent jump from last year's reported numbers, according to SFGate.

    Nestled along the Interstate 880 corridor in the East Bay, the Hayward Fault has the highest chance among any Bay Area fault lines — 33 percent — of rupturing and causing a massive quake, SFGate reported.

    Odds of a shaker occurring along the Calaveras Fault, which runs along I-680 in the East Bay and Highway 101 in the South Bay, sit at 26 percent. The San Andreas Fault slicing through the Peninsula is locked into the third spot with a 22 percent likelihood of being home to the next large earthquake, SFGate reported.

    Expert scientists from the Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities released the newest predictions with the help of updated earthquake prediction technology and better mapping techniques, according to SFGate.

    Loma Prieta, which registered as a 6.9 magnitude quake in 1989, was the last substantial earthquake to rock the region.

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